Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000101 0.000112 0.000123 0.000137 0.000151 0.000167 0.000186
2025-12-14 0.000086 0.000100 0.000117 0.000138 0.000162 0.000189 0.000224
2025-12-21 0.000074 0.000091 0.000112 0.000138 0.000170 0.000210 0.000261
2025-12-28 0.000065 0.000083 0.000106 0.000136 0.000176 0.000227 0.000296
2026-01-04 0.000058 0.000078 0.000103 0.000138 0.000186 0.000249 0.000340
2026-01-11 0.000053 0.000073 0.000100 0.000138 0.000193 0.000269 0.000382
2026-01-18 0.000048 0.000068 0.000096 0.000138 0.000199 0.000286 0.000421
2026-01-25 0.000044 0.000064 0.000093 0.000137 0.000204 0.000303 0.000462
2026-02-01 0.000040 0.000060 0.000090 0.000137 0.000210 0.000322 0.000506
2026-02-08 0.000037 0.000057 0.000087 0.000135 0.000213 0.000335 0.000543
2026-02-15 0.000034 0.000054 0.000084 0.000134 0.000217 0.000351 0.000585
2026-02-22 0.000032 0.000051 0.000082 0.000135 0.000223 0.000369 0.000633
2026-03-01 0.000029 0.000049 0.000079 0.000133 0.000226 0.000384 0.000678
2026-03-08 0.000028 0.000047 0.000078 0.000135 0.000235 0.000410 0.000743
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000045 0.000077 0.000135 0.000242 0.000431 0.000804
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000043 0.000075 0.000134 0.000245 0.000448 0.000858
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000042 0.000074 0.000136 0.000255 0.000476 0.000936
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000040 0.000073 0.000137 0.000261 0.000499 0.001005
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000039 0.000071 0.000136 0.000265 0.000519 0.001070
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000037 0.000070 0.000135 0.000269 0.000538 0.001136
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000036 0.000068 0.000135 0.000275 0.000560 0.001210
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000034 0.000066 0.000133 0.000276 0.000574 0.001267
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000033 0.000065 0.000133 0.000280 0.000592 0.001337